Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 15.054916 17.143065 19.550418 22.562936 26.277807 30.771325 36.716894
2025-03-09 12.511696 15.102281 18.359097 22.859977 29.099320 37.742934 51.221036
2025-03-16 10.718977 13.387556 16.920991 22.117653 29.900732 41.763000 62.728792
2025-03-23 9.660176 12.402244 16.190730 22.064017 31.480448 47.157435 78.526692
2025-03-30 8.600306 11.253425 15.029512 21.108726 31.358469 49.624571 90.085957
2025-04-06 7.702756 10.225652 13.899108 19.990046 30.681653 50.838366 99.619384
2025-04-13 7.019755 9.438267 13.031608 19.150104 30.295393 52.457295 111.015228
2025-04-20 7.100464 9.780890 13.921227 21.349052 35.933225 68.391829 173.203659
2025-04-27 6.863808 9.609905 13.965121 22.067504 38.858441 79.560415 234.991888
2025-05-04 6.373971 8.999507 13.221192 21.227595 38.311146 81.751377 265.252535
2025-05-11 6.183442 8.850211 13.235362 21.820059 41.061619 94.247350 365.956084
2025-05-18 5.871920 8.479609 12.831406 21.533604 41.705652 100.862975 451.095726
2025-05-25 5.583753 8.142929 12.484099 21.373851 42.786661 110.124466 592.286278
2025-06-01 5.375731 7.926284 12.333349 21.606938 44.969706 124.961640 868.281975
2025-06-08 5.066289 7.515415 11.790649 20.924932 44.533470 129.532932 1068.138316
2025-06-15 4.865701 7.278544 11.550554 20.875003 45.870403 142.771328 1566.848927
2025-06-22 4.580266 6.877331 10.970376 19.991221 44.582134 143.312462 1831.727795
2025-06-29 4.297977 6.468027 10.349607 18.954622 42.652687 139.877110 1976.970573
2025-07-06 4.065746 6.136521 9.859105 18.175130 41.387395 139.405916 2273.147301
2025-07-13 4.165350 6.397830 10.533458 20.213680 49.601983 199.780326 12472.479676
2025-07-20 4.107049 6.369713 10.632181 20.878255 53.565447 242.302843 87000.670894
2025-07-27 3.911678 6.080281 10.181458 20.101262 52.122151 242.674977 188369.012888
2025-08-03 3.853649 6.041672 10.241939 20.649446 55.839361 292.834249 NaN